Personalities Methodology About
Bill Simmons
The Ringer
Podcast
Column
TV
๐•
Bill
Simmons
Founder, The Ringer ยท NBA on TNT ยท The Bill Simmons Podcast
OTR Score
791
Ranked #2 overall ยท Top 5% all-time
61.2%
Accuracy
214
Takes
131
Correct
83
Wrong
๐Ÿ’™
FanDuel
Sportsbook Score
+341
58%
Accuracy
67
Public Bets
39
Correct
28
Wrong
Difficulty set
by posted odds
Takes Currently In Play
7 open
"Jayson Tatum will be a top-3 player in the league by the 2026โ€“27 season. I'm not even debating this."
383
OTR Line
In Play
The Bill Simmons Podcast ยท Ep. 1,204
Mar 14, 2026
โฑ Resolves Oct 2027
Contrarian 2.5ร— Multi-season NBA ยท Player
"The Celtics are a dynasty. Three titles in five years โ€” I'm saying it now."
540
OTR Line
In Play
NBA on TNT ยท Pre-game
Jun 3, 2025
โฑ Resolves Jun 2030
Wild 3ร— Era call NBA ยท Franchise
๐Ÿ’™ FanDuel ยท +165
"Locked in on OKC to win the West. Thunder all the way."
297
OTR Line
In Play
๐• @BillSimmons
Apr 2, 2026
Consensus 1.5ร— NBA ยท Playoff
Recent Verdicts
"Wemby wins Rookie of the Year โ€” it's not even a competition."
+216
Banked
Correct โœ“
The Bill Simmons Podcast
Oct 2023 ยท Resolved Apr 2024
Consensus 1.5ร— NBA ยท Player
"The Lakers make the conference finals โ€” LeBron is still that guy."
โˆ’189
Burned
Wrong โœ—
The Bill Simmons Podcast
Oct 2024 ยท Resolved May 2025
Bold 2ร— NBA ยท Playoff
Full Take History
214 total
Take Sport Source Line Verdict Score
"Wemby wins Rookie of the Year." NBA Podcast 216 Correct +216
"Boston goes back-to-back. This roster is different." NBA Column 270 Correct +270
"Celtics cover tonight. #FanDuelPartner" NBA ๐Ÿ’™ FanDuel 82 Correct +82
"The Lakers make the conference finals." NBA Podcast 189 Wrong โˆ’189
"Knicks +7.5 live bet. @FanDuel" NBA ๐Ÿ’™ FanDuel 248 Wrong โˆ’248
"OKC to win the West. Thunder all the way." NBA ๐Ÿ’™ FanDuel 297 In Play โ€”
OTR Hall of Fame โ€” Simmons Edition
โœ“
๐Ÿ† Greatest Take
"Giannis wins back-to-back MVPs and a title before he turns 30. He is the best player on the planet and it isn't close."
Oct 2018 ยท The Ringer ยท Wild (3ร—) ยท Era call
+486
โœ—
๐Ÿ’€ Worst Take
"Brooklyn has the best roster I've ever seen assembled in my lifetime. They win the title this year, next year, and the year after. It's a wrap."
Sep 2021 ยท Podcast ยท Wild (3ร—) ยท Deleted tweet โˆ’20 accountability
โˆ’560
โœ“
๐Ÿ“ˆ Best Streak
7 consecutive correct takes โ€” NBA Draft 2022 through NBA Finals 2023. The best documented run in OTR history for an NBA analyst.
Jun 2022 โ€“ Jun 2023 ยท Mixed sources
+1,204
โœ—
๐ŸงŠ Coldest Stretch
4 wrong takes in 6 weeks during the 2024 NFL season โ€” all involving the Patriots rebuild. Dropped from #1 to #4 on the leaderboard.
Oct โ€“ Nov 2024 ยท The Bill Simmons Podcast
โˆ’612
Accountability Record
Voluntary corrections
8
Revisited wrong takes on air
Deleted posts
3
Flagged and archived by OTR
Integrity Score
+44
Net accountability adjustment
Accuracy Rate
61.2%
131 correct of 214 resolved
Avg OTR Line per take
234
High boldness relative to peers
Avg Specificity
0.71
Above average โ€” tends to be specific
Sportsbook Accuracy
58%
FanDuel ยท 67 public bets
Accuracy by Sport
NBA
71%
88 takes ยท 63 correct
NFL
44%
62 takes ยท 27 correct
MLB
58%
40 takes ยท 23 correct
NHL
52%
24 takes ยท 12 correct
Head-to-Head
Same topic โ€” who got it right?
vs. Russillo
8โ€“10 L
vs. Cowherd
14โ€“6 W
vs. S.A. Smith
11โ€“6 W
vs. Portnoy
16โ€“4 W
vs. Big Cat
5โ€“7 L